I missed last week due to being sick still, but I’m going to start getting back into posting my plays. This week I’ve picked my best bets like usual.
There is no update from last week, as I didn’t post any plays, so we’re just going to get right into the thick of things and get into my picks this week.
Best Bets for Week 12 of the NFL Season
*Season Record – +9.46U*
The Oakland Raiders have had two tough games the L2 weeks with big losses against NO and BAL. They now get to play Cincy and in my opinion this is winnable game for the Raiders even without McFadden. Palmer has been struggling with pressure on him due to McFadden not playing, but he should have a good game this week against the Bengals 14th ranked pass defence.
Cincy has played very well the L2 weeks and won both games, but the public is going to hammer them here. I don’t think that the Bengals deserve to be a favourite of -8 pts against any team in the NFL. The Bengals tend to play well against weaker teams, but at the same time I don’t think they’ll cover here. I think Cincy will pull out the win, but by 3-6 points only at home.
I like the over a lot in this game, but it may be a trap, as the total is much lower than I had it at. The Titans offence has been very poor this season, but last week they broke out for 37 points against Miami with CJ running for 126 rushing yards. What I like is that both defences are amongst the worst in the NFL. The Jags give up 28.9 PPG (29th) and the Titans give up 31.1 PPG (31st).
If even one defence gives up 30+ points in this game the other team only needs 14-17 points to hit the over. This game is going to be sloppy and both teams should score 30+ in my opinion. Both teams will find it hard to stop the opposing offence. We should see plenty of running and that should open up the deep ball once in awhile, which will allow this game to sail over the total.
The MNF game this weekend is between the Panthers and Eagles. Carolina has lost 2 in a row, but they’ve been up against tough competition in the Broncos and Buccaneers. This week they get to play a crippled Eagles team that’s likely to be without Vick for the 2nd straight week. Foles isn’t ready to start in the NFL and if Vick doesn’t play this one should get ugly.
RGIII and the Redskins just dominated Foles and the Eagles. The Panthers are a similar type of team to Washington and with the point spread at just -2.5 points I’m taking a shot on them. Carolina should be able to score plenty against an Eagles defence that has basically given up. The Eagles will score more than last week, but it won’t be enough to keep pace with the Panthers.
NFL Week 12 Teaser
- Raiders +15.5 / Steelers +6 / Jaguars +10
I’m going with two big underdogs in the Raiders and Jaguars this weekend on my teaser plus the Steelers. Even without Big Ben the Steelers stayed in the game last week and against the Browns this week they shouldn’t lose by more than a FG at worst.