2013 NFL Divisional Round Playoffs Picks

by Scott on January 10, 2013

The 2013 NFL Playoffs are now heating up and we’re into the divisional round. With just a few weeks of football left it’s time to try and finish up a good season.

Normally I only have three plays each week and one teaser, but this week I’m going to predict every game, as there are only four games on the card.

Best Bets for the 2013 NFL Divisional Round

The Broncos play the Ravens to start the divisional round on Saturday and the Broncos are huge favourites. This point spread has been going up this week, so if you like the Broncos you should bet them now. Denver beat Baltimore 34-17 on the road in week 15 and I expect the same type of score. Manning isn’t to lose to Flacco even with the resurgent Ravens defense that is healthy now.

Decker and Thomas make up one of the best WR combos in the NFL right now. Both WR’s had over 1000+ receiving yards on the season and Decker shredded the Ravens defense in the 1st match-up. I expect Von Miller and the Broncos defense to apply lots of pressure on Flacco and he’ll end up making a mistake or two, which will allow the Broncos to cover the big spread.

This looks like a big mismatch in my opinion. San Fran has one of the T5 defenses in the NFL and when it comes time for big games they seem to step up even more. With this game being at Candlestick the 49ers should beat Green Bay handily. Rodgers is going to get his yardage in this match-up, but the Packers have no run game whatsoever and that’ll prove to hurt them against SF.

You need a balanced attack against SF to keep them guessing, as they’re so good against the run and pass. The 49ers know that the Packers will be passing the football most of the time and they’ll be able to show some unique schemes against Rodgers. Kaepernick is playing great football and I expect him and Frank Gore to run the football against GB, as GB has struggled to stop the run.

I’ve been going back and forth with this match-up, but I settled on the Falcons due to being at home and because Clemons is out for the rest of the season due to an injury last week against the Redskins. Seattle still has a threatening defense, but if Seattle is unable to put pressure on Matt Ryan he’ll pick them apart. White, Jones and Gonzalez are all threats downfield that Seattle has to cover.

Atlanta has had some struggles on defense, but if they can limit the Seahawks run game they’ll win. Lynch is a beast and you can’t let him control the tempo of the game because it can cost you. Wilson also had quick feet and can run the football. Atlanta will put up points I feel and it’ll be enough to win a close one at home. I’m paying the extra juice to get them at -2.5 points on Sunday.

New England hosts the Texans in the last match-up this weekend. New England already beat the Texans 42-14 at home in week 14 and I expect them to cover the big spread. Houston beat the Bengals 19-13 last week, but they didn’t look great. New England has a much better offensive attack and if Schaub is unable to score TD’s on the Patriots defense it could get ugly quick.

The Texans secondary is still suspect in my opinion and Brady will be able to beat them deep and with the TE on shorter routes. This year Ridley has emerged as a great RB also and that means New England will have a balanced attack. The only way Houston keeps it close is if they win the turnover battle and put a lot of pressure on Brady, but I don’t think that’s going to happen.