We’re already into the 7th event of the PGA Tour in 2013 this weekend, as golfers head to the 2013 Northern Trust Open, which starts this morning.
This tournament should be wide open and I expect some of the high priced underdogs to contend into the final round this week at the Riviera Country Club.
My Selections to Win the 2013 Northern Trust Open
Walker has finished T4 the past two years at the Northern Trust Open and he has been in good form this year. Walker has two T5 finishes this year already at the Farmers Insurance Open and AT&T Pebble Beach. I like him to contend this weekend as well.
Walker has already played a lot of golf this year, but it’s early and he should be able to do well at a course he has had success at in the past two years. At 29.00 to win and Bet365 paying the T5 in the E/W market at ¼ odds I’m happy with betting Walker.
Baddeley finished 4th this season at the Farmers Insurance Open and last weekend had a T12 finish at Pebble Beach. Last year he finished T11 in this event and in 2011 he won this tournament. It’s hard not to like Baddeley this weekend based on his success.
Even if Baddeley doesn’t win the tournament like he did in 2011 I think there is enough value betting him E/W to finish T5. He has been in decent form to begin the year and I think his spectacular 4th round last weekend will motivate him for this weekend.
Bo Van Pelt is an intriguing selection this weekend. He has had a rough start to the year with his best finish being a T16 in his last event in Scottsdale, so he should have some confidence heading into the weekend. He also finished T8 here last year.
He generally does well on this course, as he has finished in the T15 four times in just eight tournaments. His form isn’t great right now, but this type of course suits him well. At these odds it’s worth taking a shot on him to finish in the T5.
My last E/W bet this weekend is on Watson who should be healthy after dealing with a flu. Watson is a big hitter off the tees and on a course like the Riviera he should excel. If he’s healthy Watson should contend in the T10 and potentially win.
Watson has only played in two events this season with a T4 finish in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T15 placing in the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Watson’s form is fine and I like him the best out of the favourites this weekend.
Last year Jarrod Lyle was the top Aussie (T4) in this event, but he isn’t playing this year. Baddeley was the 2nd best Aussie in the event last year with his main competition coming from Adam Scott and Marc Leishman who both finished T17.
Scott hasn’t played yet this year while Leishman has played in four events with one T10 finish. Baddeley should be in contention for a T5 finish I think this weekend and getting him at 3.50 to be the best Aussie is good value.
Last year it took a 3-golfer playoff to settle this event between Bill Haas, Keegan Bradley and Phil Mickelson. Haas won the event, but you have to watch out for all three of these golfers this weekend, as they should be amongst the leaders this year as well.